Comments on: How to quantify risk http://www.badlanguage.net/how-to-quantify-risk How to communicate Thu, 07 Aug 2008 20:27:05 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6 By: Elam http://www.badlanguage.net/how-to-quantify-risk#comment-432987 Elam Thu, 10 Jul 2008 04:50:22 +0000 http://www.badlanguage.net/how-to-quantify-risk#comment-432987 >Far more people drive the UK roads compared to those that fly light aircrafts. I think it does affect the probabilities.. consider as many people flying light aircrafts as do drive cars. Quality of training, aircraft maintenance, a reckless pilot crashing onto another.. all such systemic factors will take effect. I dont know how much these over-all probabilities matter. Too few people die of electrocution in a year than do while flying light aircrafts. Should I then just hold a live wire, than fly a light aircraft? >Far more people drive the UK roads compared to those that fly light aircrafts.

I think it does affect the probabilities.. consider as many people flying light aircrafts as do drive cars. Quality of training, aircraft maintenance, a reckless pilot crashing onto another.. all such systemic factors will take effect.

I dont know how much these over-all probabilities matter. Too few people die of electrocution in a year than do while flying light aircrafts. Should I then just hold a live wire, than fly a light aircraft?

]]> By: Bad Language / Immunisation, bad information, faulty thinking http://www.badlanguage.net/how-to-quantify-risk#comment-383416 Bad Language / Immunisation, bad information, faulty thinking Fri, 21 Mar 2008 18:10:44 +0000 http://www.badlanguage.net/how-to-quantify-risk#comment-383416 [...] in February I wrote a post about how to quantify risk. One of the examples I gave was of friends who refuse to inoculate their children against measles, [...] [...] in February I wrote a post about how to quantify risk. One of the examples I gave was of friends who refuse to inoculate their children against measles, [...]

]]> By: the illusionist http://www.badlanguage.net/how-to-quantify-risk#comment-377015 the illusionist Sat, 08 Mar 2008 10:06:13 +0000 http://www.badlanguage.net/how-to-quantify-risk#comment-377015 [...] said to be employed by stage magicians in order to "cast their spell" of illusioblogcritics.orgHow to quantify risk We live in world of miscalculated risk. Here are some examples from my own experience: My friend [...] [...] said to be employed by stage magicians in order to “cast their spell” of illusioblogcritics.orgHow to quantify risk We live in world of miscalculated risk. Here are some examples from my own experience: My friend [...]

]]> By: Matthew Stibbe http://www.badlanguage.net/how-to-quantify-risk#comment-363628 Matthew Stibbe Tue, 12 Feb 2008 19:57:40 +0000 http://www.badlanguage.net/how-to-quantify-risk#comment-363628 There's a very interesting book called The Killing Zone which examines what causes light aircraft accidents. It gives a figure of 1.25 fatal accidents per 100,000 flight hours in the USA in 1999 (the latest figures quoted in the book). I recall reading that riding a motorbike was more dangerous on an hour for hour basis. The interesting point that the book makes is that flying less is more dangerous than flying more. Most of these accidents occur in the first 300 hours or so of a pilot's career and happen more often to pilots who are less current. There’s a very interesting book called The Killing Zone which examines what causes light aircraft accidents. It gives a figure of 1.25 fatal accidents per 100,000 flight hours in the USA in 1999 (the latest figures quoted in the book). I recall reading that riding a motorbike was more dangerous on an hour for hour basis. The interesting point that the book makes is that flying less is more dangerous than flying more. Most of these accidents occur in the first 300 hours or so of a pilot’s career and happen more often to pilots who are less current.

]]> By: Matthew Stibbe http://www.badlanguage.net/how-to-quantify-risk#comment-363582 Matthew Stibbe Tue, 12 Feb 2008 18:27:56 +0000 http://www.badlanguage.net/how-to-quantify-risk#comment-363582 Yes, I understand that more people drive than fly in light aircraft. This is the very thing that makes it ironic that the media report light aircraft crashes and not car crashes. Yes, I understand that more people drive than fly in light aircraft. This is the very thing that makes it ironic that the media report light aircraft crashes and not car crashes.

]]> By: federico http://www.badlanguage.net/how-to-quantify-risk#comment-363483 federico Tue, 12 Feb 2008 14:42:39 +0000 http://www.badlanguage.net/how-to-quantify-risk#comment-363483 Ooops, the phrase was "more people die on the roads in the UK every day than die annually in light aircraft crashes. " Ooops, the phrase was “more people die on the roads in the UK every day than die annually in light aircraft crashes. “

]]> By: federico http://www.badlanguage.net/how-to-quantify-risk#comment-363482 federico Tue, 12 Feb 2008 14:42:08 +0000 http://www.badlanguage.net/how-to-quantify-risk#comment-363482 I'm not sure the phrase <> has any statistical sense. Far more people drive the UK roads compared to those that fly light aircrafts. I’m not sure the phrase <> has any statistical sense.
Far more people drive the UK roads compared to those that fly light aircrafts.

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